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Germany – 2025-2026 Scenario: Europe's locomotive at a standstill
The downward revision of our forecasts for the German economy is in line with the preliminary estimate of a 0.2% contraction in GDP in 2024. Activity in the first three quarters of 2024 was supported in particular by public consumption, despite limited budgetary resources. Household consumption, on the other hand, weighed on growth. Households switched to savings because of low consumer confidence in a...
Eurozone – 2025-2026 Scenario: a sluggish recovery at a slower pace than potential
Facing the relative slowdown in the US economy, growth in the Eurozone accelerated slightly over the summer, although still at a much lower rate than in the United States (0.9% year-on-year).
The upturn in household consumption seen over the summer bodes well for slightly stronger growth next year. The latest information on investment does not plead in favour of a marked acceleration. We have revised our...
United Kingdom – 2025-2026 Scenario: unwelcome policies in the autumn budget 2024 complicate the economic outlook
The UK economy is on course to slow sharply in H2-24. Real GDP was stable in Q3 against our expectation for an increase (0.3% QoQ) after 0.4% QoQ in Q2. Business surveys deteriorated during Q4. Furthermore, financial conditions have tightened since the Autumn Budget 2024 and quite meaningfully so since the beginning 2025: gilt yields have risen sharply (around 60bp since October) and sterling has...
Spain – 2025-2026 Scenario: Growth keeps pace
The Spanish economy managed to maintain a robust growth rate until Q3 2024 despite multiple headwinds, including weakness in the eurozone economies, persistently high inflation and the impact of past interest rate hikes. Behind this good performance are several key factors, including the solid performance of the labour market, continued high immigration and positive international tourism data, which once...
Royaume-Uni – Transition verte : point d'étape à mi-parcours
Le Royaume-Uni a réalisé des progrès notables dans la décarbonation de son économie. Il est devenu le premier grand pays à diviser par deux ses émissions de gaz à effet de serre (GES) territoriales entre 1990 et 2022, en grande majorité grâce à la nette diminution de l'utilisation du charbon au profit des énergies renouvelables.
ECO Tour 2024: the state of the French economy, sector by sector
Find out about ECO Tour 2024, the annual report that tells you everything you need to know about the French economy, sector by sector. Read insights from our expert economists and consulting engineers covering commodities, semiconductors, employment, renewable energy, aerospace, automotive, construction, etc.
ECO Tour 2024 : état de l'économie française secteur par secteur
Les perturbations des chaînes d'approvisionnement et de logistiques mondiales en sortie de Covid et la désorganisation des marchés mondiaux agricoles et de l'énergie après le déclenchement de la guerre en Ukraine ont perturbé le bon déroulement du cycle économique, sur fond de poussée inflationniste généralisée. Pénalisé par le choc inflationniste passé et le tour de vis monétaire, c'est le niveau de...
Chimie – Le graphène va-t-il détrôner la fibre de carbone ?
Tous deux matériaux à base de carbone, la fibre de carbone se distingue du graphène principalement par la présence dans sa structure d'éléments tels que l'oxygène et l'azote. Si la fibre de carbone est considérée depuis sa découverte à la fin du XIXe siècle comme révolutionnaire, c'est principalement grâce à ses propriétés physiques comme sa résistance, sa densité et sa conductivité ; ce qui lui a permis...